The National Associaton of Realtors has just published a research paper that pinpoints ten important facts about the current US real estate market.
1. The economy is growing, though slowly. The Gross Domestic Product has been rising for three quarters in a row.
2. The private sector is actually creating some jobs. The positive trend has begun in January 2010 and has continued without interruption through June. In April there were more than 200,000 additional jobs.
3. Consumer confidence is still low, but way off bottom. The research graph starts at 140 index in January 2000 and reaches its lowest value toward the end of 2008 with approximately 20. No we are ranging on the 60 mark and there is a steady growing trend. So consumers are three times more confident than they were 18 months ago.
4. The 30-year mortgage rate has never been lower, descending to almost 4%.
5. The national median home price is now stabilizing around the $ 180,000 mark and has been hoovering between 160,000 and 180,000 for 2 years now, after the steep descent between May 2007 and November 2008.
6. Price measurements by third party research firms are also stabilizing in the $ 140,000 range.
7. Home price-to-income ratio has finally gone back to reasonable levels, which means houses are more affordable and prices do reflect consumer buying power.
8. Economists expect the prices to slowly increase in the coming years: as little as a 0.78% increase in 2011 and then 2.43% in 2012 and so on.
9. Delinquencies are still high, but they are an heritage of the reckless lending happened in the first half of this decade. The loans originated in the recent years are performing well.
10. The median family net worth has been increasing between 2004 and 2007 (2010 data are not available yet) so there will be a growing number of renters that will be able to become bona fide home owners.
Good news, overall, which shed a positive yet conservative light on the future of the US real estate market. To read the full research, click on this
link.
Roberto Mazzoni




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